The Physical Security Business 2016 to 2021
Access Control, Intruder Alarms & Video Surveillance
This report is the new 2016 definitive resource for access control, intruder alarms, video surveillance market research & investment analysis.
The total value of world production of physical security products at factory gate prices in 2016 was $28.44 billion, an increase of 4.5% on 2015. Over the last 5 years the market has grown by a compound annual growth rate of 8.2% showing a significant fall in growth over the last 2 years.
The developed markets of North America and Europe have continued to lose market share to Asia and particularly China and this is set to continue to the end of the decade.
This is bad news for western manufacturers of video surveillance products because they have failed to establish a solid business base and significant share in China, whilst two Chinese manufacturers have sales of more than $5 billion between them and now have the kind of scale that allows them to reduce prices to the levels that most western manufacturers can't compete against.
We forecast a CAGR of 5.65% over the 5 year period from 2016 to 2021. Not particularly optimistic considering that the market managed to grow by a CAGR of 7.83% during an unstable period from the end of 2010 to today. But whilst growth in volume terms will be well over 10% there is little chance of sales revenues achieving much more than half of this whilst the major Chinese companies continue reducing their prices in order to boost volume.
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